Plot of the Swedish fatalities among people over the age of 80 in the month January,..,December in the years 2015 - 2020

Heigth of rectangle corresponds to 1500 deceased per 100000, i.e. 1.5%

Brown - 2015

Blue - 2016

Yellow - 2017

Red - 2018. Rather strong flu season.A peak of mortalities can be identified in March

Green - 2019

Black - 2020. Covid 19 plus flu. A visual increase of mortalities in April and May. At the end of the year the death toll increases somewhat more than in previous years from a very low value in October

Table of Swedish fatalities per 100000 among people over the age of 80 in the years 2015 - 2020

201520162017201820192020
January 1052101211001005 911 900
February 1003 899 961 951 811 813
March 1036 927 9571071 833 921
April 896 859 887 870 8091172
May 850 797 844 741 770 963
June 786 744 745 726 689 784
July 793 819 763 807 717 725
August 768 810 768 756 759 732
September 784 769 764 760 718 698
October 835 860 837 805 800 759
November 843 871 837 823 811 888
December 932 993 957 885 8691049

It can be seen that a significant excess mortality 2020 only can be found in April and May. In fact, it is known that inhabitans in some nursing homes got infected from the staff!

The main reason for the increased mortality in the cathegory "older than 80" is that this now is a larger group of the population! 1 November 2015 Sweden had 510670 inhabitants older than 80, 1 November 2020 corresponding number was 555034. This is an increase of 9%!

Table over the number of inhabitants in Sweden that were older than 80 at the reference date 1 November in the years 2015 - 2020

20152016 2017 2018 2019 2020
510670516433521996530942545449555034

Corresponding computations for Germany