Plot of the Swedish fatalities among people over the age of 80 in the month January,..,December in the years 2015 - 2020

Heigth of rectangle corresponds to 1500 deceased per 100000, i.e. 1.5%

Brown - 2015

Blue - 2016

Yellow - 2017

Red - 2018. Rather strong flu season.A peak of mortalities can be identified in March

Green - 2019

Black - 2020. Covid 19 plus flu. A visual increase of mortalities in April and May. At the end of the year the death toll increases somewhat more than in previous years from a very low value in October

Table of Swedish fatalities per 100000 among people over the age of 80 in the years 2015 - 2020

	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
January	1052	1012	1100	1005	911	900
February	1003	899	961	951	811	813
March	1036	927	957	1071	833	921
April	896	859	887	870	809	1172
May	850	797	844	741	770	963
June	786	744	745	726	689	784
July	793	819	763	807	717	725
August	768	810	768	756	759	732
September	784	769	764	760	718	698
October	835	860	837	805	800	759
November	843	871	837	823	811	888
December	932	993	957	885	869	1049

It can be seen that a significant excess mortality 2020 only can be found in April and May. In fact, it is known that inhabitans in some nursing homes got infected from the staff!

The main reason for the increased mortality in the cathegory "older than 80" is that this now is a larger group of the population! 1 November 2015 Sweden had 510670 inhabitants older than 80, 1 November 2020 corresponding number was 555034. This is an increase of 9%!

Table over the number of inhabitants in Sweden that were older than 80 at the reference date 1 November in the years 2015 - 2020

2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
510670	516433	521996	530942	545449	555034

Corresponding computations for Germany