Plot of the Swedish fatalities among people over the age of 80 in the 7 first month of the years 2015 - 2020

Heigth of rectangle corresponds to 8000 deceased

Brown - 2015

Blue - 2016

Darkred - 2017

Red - 2018. Rather strong flu season.A peak of mortalities can be identified in March

Green - 2019

Black - 2020. Covid 19 plus flu. A visual increase of mortalities in April and May

Table of Swedish fatalities among people over the age of 80 in the 7 first month of the years 2015 - 2020

201520162017201820192020
January 537452275745533949724998
February512446435018505244264514
March 529147904996569145485114
April 457744404631462044146508
May 434441204410393542055348
June 401438453893385837594349
July 405442343983428739114018

It can be seen that:

2015 (Brown) was a quite "neutral" year without any peak of mortality in the winter. 32778 persons over 80 deceased in the 7 first month of 2015

2020 (Black) is the "Covid-19 year" with a mortality peek in April and May that must be assumed to have been caused by Corona. 34849 persons over 80 deceased in the 7 first month of 2020

The "Corona-toll" in the cathegory 80+ can therefore be estimated to be 34849 - 32778 = 2071 persons. In Sweden there is about 500000 persons in this cathegory. In the year 2015 the probability for somebody in this cathegory to die of any cause (high age!) in the 7 first month was consequently 32778 / 500000 = 0.066 (66 in a thousand)! The increase of this probability in 2020 due to Covid-19 was 2071 / 500000 = 0.004 (4 in a thousand)! In July there is no more any sign at all of a higher mortality then usual